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Here's the scenario. Take a cramped, crowded, not very
clean and none too modern underground system, add several hundred
thousand tourists with the same destination in mind. Do what you
can. Hope for the best.
Olympic planners are taking steps to keep London's creaking
system from overloading during the 2012 Games. In some ways, this
may prove harder than building the Olympic Park, with many who use
the system daily expecting subterranean gridlock.
'It's hard enough today and it's just a normal day,' says Jenny
Claydon from Essex, as she pauses at the cavernous Stratford
station, the main transport link near the new park. 'I think it's
going to be terrible.'
With only months to go before the Olympics, the focus is
shifting from building to delivering the Games. With structures
under their belts, experts are now trying to see how they can eke
out more capacity from the rails, roads and skies, moving hundreds
of thousands of spectators, as well as athletes, officials and
journalists.
The success or failure of the Games will hang, in part, on
whether the system can keep up with the increase in demand. If the
plans fail, London will be remembered as the place where no one
could get to the park, get to work or get home.
No one wants another Atlanta. The 1996 Games provided a
cautionary tale of Olympic travel woes with bus drivers getting
lost, athletes arriving moments before their events and overloaded
trains that couldn't get residents home. It prompted the
International Olympic Committee (IOC) to lay out demands to make
sure it didn't happen again.
'Atlanta was an unmitigated transport disaster,' says rail
expert Christian Wolmar. 'All the other Olympics - Beijing and
Sydney - have learned their lessons.'
London set its goals high, aiming to have
100 per cent of the spectators arrive by public transport, foot or
bike. Day passes for the underground are included in the package
for ticket holders. A special train, the 'Javelin', will take
spectators directly from central London's St. Pancras station to
Stratford.
But there is the challenge of having so many tourists on the
system at the same time. The Tube can be confusing. Londoners
accustomed to it learn the shortcuts - that hidden stairway that
impossibly leads down a dark passage to a platform. But tourists
can be utterly perplexed, and often stop in the middle of narrow
platforms searching for a sign.
During normal times, London struggles with constraints on the
Tube, which handles 12 million trips a day. The Olympics is
estimated to add three million trips on the busiest days. And while
IOC officials have stressed that they are pleased with London's
progress to accommodate the incoming masses, it is based on what
critics see as overly optimistic goals - such as a drop in use of
the Tube by ordinary commuters of about a third and a surge in
people working from home.
London transport officials stress that they've been planning for
this for years, that they often handle large events and that they
are accomplished at managing London's daily traffic patterns.
Smoothly moving traffic was shown on computer screens everywhere
during a recent tour of its hyper efficient control centre in south
London. Dozens of monitors and computers blipped and flashed like
something out of a movie showing the operations room at the
Pentagon. A big board in the room's centre shows a map of central
London, together with traffic on surveillance cameras.
Peter Hendy, the Transport for London commissioner, is
confident, almost cheerful. During an interview with The
Associated Press, he suggested that even very small things
will make a huge difference, such as asking some commuters to alter
their habits to avoid the busiest times. He said: 'Sometimes we'll
ask people to go for a beer before you go home.'
Transport for London has held seminars and tried to work with
individual businesses in the city, whittling them down one company
at a time, working with managers in hopes of changing work
patterns. But not everyone can work from home. What about sales
clerks, cooks or cops? Alicia Ng, who lives in the London borough
where the equestrian events will take place, is a health care
worker at University College London. Staying at home from 27 July
until 12 August isn't an option. 'It's impossible,' she says.
'Especially for a month.'
Worries about security could slow travel further. London was hit
by transit attacks in 2005 that killed 52 commuters and four
bombers, the day after London was awarded the Games.
The city's powerful transportation unions argue the system is
plagued by a long-standing failure to update and maintain
infrastructure. They argue staff cutbacks have curtailed services,
hurting disabled commuters. Strikes are always feared.
Around £6.5 billion has been invested in upgrading and extending
transport links. But that is money laid out on a transport system
that creaks and groans with age. In the most glaring cases,
passengers have been trapped in tunnels and forced to walk out by
torchlight - not exactly a sparkling advertisement for London's
image. Many here find irony in the fact it is necessary to point
out with a public service announcement on any given day that 'There
is good service on all underground lines!'
Though transport officials say they have great computer models,
there is also no possibility to really test the plans, meaning that
it will be a massive and complex exercise where all the details
aren't available.
'London is different to anywhere that the Olympics has taken
place in modern times,' says Tony Travers, a transportation expert
at the London School for Economics.
Among the biggest problems are the streets themselves, laid out
as they are in a pattern relatively unchanged since medieval times.
That means only a handful of thoroughfares, and even those are
nothing like the great boulevards that bisect cities like New York
and Paris. Earmarking some lanes for Olympic traffic could cause
disruption.
Mindful of Atlanta, transportation planners have identified
lanes for use by Olympic VIPs, officials and athletes only. But
such a system creates a built-in inequity, and London's famous
black cab drivers are among those agitating for access to what is
known as the Olympic Route Network. Wags have already given them
the moniker Zil lanes, after the Soviet limousines that were
granted exclusive use of the outside lanes of highways.
'Londoners won't take well to that,' says Wolmar. 'That's an
issue that hasn't been properly thought out.'
The skies will be busy too. Heathrow, already Europe's busiest
airport, is creating a special terminal for Olympic athletes,
coaches and sponsors to fly out of Britain after the close of the
games. Airport officials say 10,000 athletes and support staff will
go through the 'Special Games Terminal' in the three days after the
closing ceremony to process the exodus. The day after the closing
ceremony is set to be the airport's busiest ever.
Some Londoners are hopeful that chaos will be avoided. Clare
Payn looked dubious at the notion that all would work smoothly, but
tries to look at the bright side. 'When London gets it right, it
does get it right,' she concludes.
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